Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 1.592827 1.829734 2.090015 2.397245 2.750085 3.142762 3.613149
2025-06-15 1.309719 1.632641 2.017254 2.509350 3.122779 3.863031 4.825488
2025-06-22 1.082624 1.447491 1.913204 2.551795 3.405985 4.511169 6.053347
2025-06-29 0.893867 1.270968 1.782472 2.527935 3.588963 5.048747 7.216966
2025-07-06 0.723326 1.086333 1.606082 2.405841 3.608954 5.357492 8.103647
2025-07-13 0.648729 1.023949 1.588243 2.500526 3.943869 6.148955 9.793033
2025-07-20 0.593885 0.980999 1.589950 2.620031 4.326836 7.056669 11.783963
2025-07-27 0.538946 0.928357 1.566844 2.692981 4.640314 7.889517 13.765061
2025-08-03 0.486771 0.871803 1.527912 2.731038 4.895875 8.653322 15.727876
2025-08-10 0.424308 0.788036 1.430511 2.652187 4.933510 9.041739 17.074332
2025-08-17 0.363943 0.699342 1.312077 2.517600 4.848619 9.194218 17.998106
2025-08-24 0.328337 0.651791 1.262038 2.502452 4.982292 9.761124 19.777862
2025-08-31 0.291254 0.597557 1.194611 2.449012 5.043157 10.213329 21.431663
2025-09-07 0.279039 0.591350 1.219954 2.584313 5.501443 11.511172 25.003309
2025-09-14 0.259778 0.567922 1.207527 2.639841 5.801920 12.527148 28.129134
2025-09-21 0.236020 0.531600 1.163505 2.621670 5.941335 13.221104 30.650697
2025-09-28 0.206588 0.478751 1.077235 2.498463 5.830599 13.354806 31.922029
2025-10-05 0.197560 0.470894 1.088933 2.598824 6.243321 14.714773 36.254226
2025-10-12 0.190854 0.467507 1.110210 2.724234 6.731834 16.313514 41.395567
2025-10-19 0.181341 0.456071 1.111188 2.800776 7.112213 17.704907 46.225509
2025-10-26 0.170420 0.439671 1.098149 2.840745 7.406683 18.924543 50.794524
2025-11-02 0.153839 0.406710 1.040278 2.758901 7.377785 19.327906 53.272316
2025-11-09 0.136120 0.368414 0.964131 2.618959 7.176364 19.258282 54.454879